Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.120227 0.182258 0.254621 0.342665 0.444665 0.557257 0.689231
2025-11-16 0.031198 0.091470 0.181576 0.308949 0.472538 0.666912 0.907957
2025-11-23 0.006338 0.053789 0.147684 0.297279 0.502861 0.757752 1.083407
2025-11-30 0.000240 0.035198 0.132781 0.304985 0.553727 0.871148 1.284527
2025-12-07 NaN 0.019819 0.114106 0.301048 0.584751 0.956581 1.449131
2025-12-14 NaN 0.007994 0.091954 0.285575 0.595887 1.013930 1.577115
2025-12-21 NaN 0.005828 0.094535 0.311769 0.666663 1.149189 1.802831
2025-12-28 NaN 0.004257 0.097598 0.338406 0.738010 1.285325 2.029950
2026-01-04 NaN 0.002162 0.094623 0.352680 0.790416 1.396025 2.224815
2026-01-11 NaN 0.002006 0.102920 0.389149 0.876756 1.552666 2.478700
2026-01-18 NaN 0.001353 0.106366 0.415768 0.948056 1.689147 2.707051
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000217 0.098679 0.418642 0.982259 1.775121 2.870572
2026-02-01 NaN NaN 0.075234 0.385498 0.960906 1.787945 2.944402
2026-02-08 NaN NaN 0.053162 0.348164 0.929756 1.785838 2.998436
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.042955 0.336073 0.937850 1.836910 3.120397
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.040302 0.344204 0.980015 1.936295 3.306221
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.034174 0.340027 1.000260 2.004017 3.449922
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.025425 0.323504 0.997454 2.037793 3.547963
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.028924 0.351453 1.074648 2.188021 3.802046
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.032557 0.379803 1.152615 2.339486 4.057957
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.032627 0.394969 1.206879 2.456556 4.267975
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.039077 0.433642 1.303576 2.635508 4.561031
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.042693 0.461809 1.381391 2.787075 4.817567